The Supreme Court is scheduled to announce its ruling on the legality of President Obama’s 2010 healthcare law. Based on the arguments put before the justices, many legal experts now lack confidence in the federal government’s defense.
According to Yahoo News:
A new insider survey of 58 legal experts conducted after the oral arguments concluded found that most predict that the court will strike down the so-called individual mandate, a central provision within the law requiring that every American purchase a government-approved form of health insurance. The same expert survey was conducted before the hearings began, which found the opposite: Most thought the law would be upheld.
Using a 0 to 100 scale, pollsters asked 38 former clerks of current Supreme Court justices and 18 attorneys who have argued before the court to rate weigh in on the probability that the “individual mandate provision” will be declared unconstitutional. The insiders provided an average rating of 57 percent, far more than previously thought.
“This is a fascinating snapshot of how true experts believe the Supreme Court will act on the future of American healthcare,” said American Action Forum President Douglas Holtz-Eakin, who served as Director of the Congressional Budget Office under President George W. Bush. “Experts believe the oral arguments revealed significant insights into the court’s thinking.”
The individual mandate provision itself does not affect Medicare beneficiaries, however, a ruling against the entirety of the 2010 healthcare law could have a dramatic impact.
Image by J. Scott Applewhite/AP.